The state of book sales and bookstores has always been a mixed bag, if you'll pardon the pun. The American Booksellers Association had 4,057 member stores in 1996; last year, that number was down to 1,625. Two popular mystery book stores, Murder Ink, the first and oldest independent mystery store, and The Black Orchid, both in New York, recently closed in December 2006 and September 2007, respectively. And depending upon which set of statistics you read and how you interpret them, the number of books sold has also been declining.
However, there are signs of life. The ABA says that, although from the mid-'90s until two years ago, store openings could be counted on two hands, in 2005 the ABA registered 90 new stores and in 2006, 97. Although book sales have been a little flat, the Book Industry Study Group says publishers’ net revenues in 2006 reached $35.69 billion, up 3.2 percent
over 2005’s total, and that unit sales in 2006 exceeded 3.1 billion, with projections showing revenues reaching nearly $42 billion and units at 3.24 billion by the end of 2011.
That seems to be hopeful news for book authors and book fans, but there are still a lot of developing technologies and trends that are still evolving, and if you ask any publishing group or expert about their predictions for the future of the industry, you'll probably get a different answer from each.
This brings us to a brand-new offering in the book world, a literary version of Netflix called Book Swim. For a monthly fee, they'll send you books to read, which you send back at your leisure. This sounds like a godsend for readers, certainly, especially shut-ins and busy families, but how will this affect overall book sales? Maybe not this one company, perhaps, but what if it attracts competitors? Perhaps it will take a bite out of sales, perhaps not. Afterall, there are still an estimated 117,378 libraries in the U.S. alone, and their existence hasn't caused a decline in the publishing world. Authors can also take heart that if a Book Swim renter likes a book, they can go ahead and buy it for keeps.
If it's not a brave new world for writers and publishers, it's definitely a grave new world, but writers being what we are, will continue to write regardless. Ultimately it begins and ends with the creative process, or as Anais Nin said, "If you do not breathe through writing, if you do not cry out in writing, or sing in writing, then don't write, because our culture has no use for it."